Polymarket 宏观 / 加密相关赔率 · 更新 2026-09-18 17:01:26
| 问题 | 分类 | 成交量 | 到期 | 赔率 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | politics | $5,477.94万 | 2028-11-07 | Yes 0.1% / No 100% |
| Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | politics | $5,274.57万 | 2028-11-07 | Yes 0.5% / No 99.6% |
| Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | politics | $5,043.88万 | 2028-11-07 | Yes 0.6% / No 99.5% |
| Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | politics | $4,873.27万 | 2028-11-07 | Yes 0.2% / No 99.9% |
| Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | politics | $4,472.45万 | 2028-11-07 | Yes 0.1% / No 100% |
| Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | politics | $4,448.71万 | 2028-11-07 | No 99.5% / Yes 0.5% |
| Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | politics | $4,401.88万 | 2028-11-07 | Yes 0.2% / No 99.9% |
| Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | politics | $4,398.40万 | 2028-11-07 | No 100% / Yes 0.1% |
| Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | politics | $4,371.01万 | 2028-11-07 | Yes 0.2% / No 99.9% |
| Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | politics | $4,347.91万 | 2028-11-07 | Yes 0.1% / No 100% |
| Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | politics | $4,345.12万 | 2028-11-07 | Yes 0.1% / No 100% |
| Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | politics | $4,291.94万 | 2028-11-07 | No 100% / Yes 0.1% |
| Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | politics | $4,281.26万 | 2028-11-07 | Yes 0.1% / No 100% |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | fed-rates | $842.67万 | 2026-12-31 | No 4.7% / Yes 95.4% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | crypto | $764.85万 | 2027-01-01 | Yes 6.5% / No 93.5% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | crypto | $607.53万 | 2027-01-01 | No 83.5% / Yes 16.5% |
| Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | fed-rates | $526.78万 | 2026-12-31 | Yes 0.1% / No 100% |
| Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | fed-rates | $428.45万 | 2026-12-31 | No 100% / Yes 0.1% |
| Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | fed-rates | $422.11万 | 2026-12-31 | Yes 0.1% / No 100% |
| Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | fed-rates | $395.64万 | 2026-12-31 | No 100% / Yes 0.1% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | crypto | $369.50万 | 2027-01-01 | Yes 10.5% / No 89.5% |
| Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | fed-rates | $352.29万 | 2026-12-31 | Yes 0.1% / No 100% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | crypto | $335.07万 | 2027-01-01 | No 81.5% / Yes 18.5% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? | crypto | $328.92万 | 2027-01-01 | Yes 4.5% / No 95.5% |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | fed-rates | $320.01万 | 2026-12-31 | Yes 0.4% / No 99.7% |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | fed-rates | $317.52万 | 2026-12-31 | Yes 1.9% / No 98.2% |
| Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | fed-rates | $298.47万 | 2026-12-31 | No 99.9% / Yes 0.2% |
| Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | fed-rates | $292.79万 | 2026-12-31 | No 99.6% / Yes 0.4% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? | crypto | $280.80万 | 2027-01-01 | Yes 0.4% / No 99.6% |
| Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | fed-rates | $272.88万 | 2026-12-31 | No 99.8% / Yes 0.2% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? | crypto | $267.61万 | 2027-01-01 | Yes 13.7% / No 86.4% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? | crypto | $212.21万 | 2027-01-01 | No 93.5% / Yes 6.5% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? | crypto | $206.54万 | 2027-01-01 | No 94.5% / Yes 5.5% |
| US recession by end of 2026? | macro | $197.01万 | 2027-01-31 | No 91.5% / Yes 8.5% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | fed-rates | $194.23万 | 2026-10-28 | Yes 48.5% / No 51.5% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | crypto | $188.56万 | 2027-01-01 | Yes 43.5% / No 56.5% |
| Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? | crypto | $181.33万 | 2027-01-01 | Yes 5.9% / No 94.2% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? | crypto | $178.61万 | 2027-01-01 | No 94.5% / Yes 5.5% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? | crypto | $172.74万 | 2027-01-01 | Yes 9.5% / No 90.5% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | fed-rates | $155.62万 | 2026-10-28 | Yes 50.5% / No 49.5% |
| Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? | macro | $33.27万 | 2026-12-31 | No 91.5% / Yes 8.5% |
| Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? | macro | $20.35万 | 2026-12-31 | Yes 19.5% / No 80.5% |
| Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026? | macro | $6.89万 | 2026-12-31 | No 94.8% / Yes 5.2% |
| Will inflation reach more than 10% in 2026? | macro | $6.00万 | 2026-12-31 | No 97.2% / Yes 2.9% |
| Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.8% and 1.1%? | macro | $4.28万 | 2026-10-30 | Yes 55% / No 45% |
| Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%? | macro | $4.26万 | 2027-01-20 | Yes 40.6% / No 59.4% |
| Will inflation reach more than 8% in 2026? | macro | $4.21万 | 2026-12-31 | No 96.6% / Yes 3.5% |
| Negative GDP growth in 2026? | macro | $3.34万 | 2027-01-29 | No 98% / Yes 2.1% |
| Will India’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 3.75% and 4.49%? | macro | $3.19万 | 2027-01-12 | No 95.8% / Yes 4.3% |
| Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1% and 2%? | macro | $3.16万 | 2027-02-12 | No 6.3% / Yes 93.7% |
| Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 3.00% and 3.49%? | macro | $2.92万 | 2027-01-08 | No 81.6% / Yes 18.4% |
| Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 1.9% and 2.1%? | macro | $2.62万 | 2027-01-19 | No 98.2% / Yes 1.8% |