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Polymarket 宏观 / 加密相关赔率 · 更新 2026-09-18 17:01:26

问题分类成交量到期赔率
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? politics $5,477.94万 2028-11-07 Yes 0.1% / No 100%
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? politics $5,274.57万 2028-11-07 Yes 0.5% / No 99.6%
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? politics $5,043.88万 2028-11-07 Yes 0.6% / No 99.5%
Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? politics $4,873.27万 2028-11-07 Yes 0.2% / No 99.9%
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election? politics $4,472.45万 2028-11-07 Yes 0.1% / No 100%
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? politics $4,448.71万 2028-11-07 No 99.5% / Yes 0.5%
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? politics $4,401.88万 2028-11-07 Yes 0.2% / No 99.9%
Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? politics $4,398.40万 2028-11-07 No 100% / Yes 0.1%
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? politics $4,371.01万 2028-11-07 Yes 0.2% / No 99.9%
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? politics $4,347.91万 2028-11-07 Yes 0.1% / No 100%
Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? politics $4,345.12万 2028-11-07 Yes 0.1% / No 100%
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? politics $4,291.94万 2028-11-07 No 100% / Yes 0.1%
Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? politics $4,281.26万 2028-11-07 Yes 0.1% / No 100%
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? fed-rates $842.67万 2026-12-31 No 4.7% / Yes 95.4%
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? crypto $764.85万 2027-01-01 Yes 6.5% / No 93.5%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? crypto $607.53万 2027-01-01 No 83.5% / Yes 16.5%
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? fed-rates $526.78万 2026-12-31 Yes 0.1% / No 100%
Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? fed-rates $428.45万 2026-12-31 No 100% / Yes 0.1%
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? fed-rates $422.11万 2026-12-31 Yes 0.1% / No 100%
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? fed-rates $395.64万 2026-12-31 No 100% / Yes 0.1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? crypto $369.50万 2027-01-01 Yes 10.5% / No 89.5%
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? fed-rates $352.29万 2026-12-31 Yes 0.1% / No 100%
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? crypto $335.07万 2027-01-01 No 81.5% / Yes 18.5%
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? crypto $328.92万 2027-01-01 Yes 4.5% / No 95.5%
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? fed-rates $320.01万 2026-12-31 Yes 0.4% / No 99.7%
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? fed-rates $317.52万 2026-12-31 Yes 1.9% / No 98.2%
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? fed-rates $298.47万 2026-12-31 No 99.9% / Yes 0.2%
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? fed-rates $292.79万 2026-12-31 No 99.6% / Yes 0.4%
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? crypto $280.80万 2027-01-01 Yes 0.4% / No 99.6%
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? fed-rates $272.88万 2026-12-31 No 99.8% / Yes 0.2%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? crypto $267.61万 2027-01-01 Yes 13.7% / No 86.4%
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? crypto $212.21万 2027-01-01 No 93.5% / Yes 6.5%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? crypto $206.54万 2027-01-01 No 94.5% / Yes 5.5%
US recession by end of 2026? macro $197.01万 2027-01-31 No 91.5% / Yes 8.5%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? fed-rates $194.23万 2026-10-28 Yes 48.5% / No 51.5%
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? crypto $188.56万 2027-01-01 Yes 43.5% / No 56.5%
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? crypto $181.33万 2027-01-01 Yes 5.9% / No 94.2%
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? crypto $178.61万 2027-01-01 No 94.5% / Yes 5.5%
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? crypto $172.74万 2027-01-01 Yes 9.5% / No 90.5%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? fed-rates $155.62万 2026-10-28 Yes 50.5% / No 49.5%
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? macro $33.27万 2026-12-31 No 91.5% / Yes 8.5%
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? macro $20.35万 2026-12-31 Yes 19.5% / No 80.5%
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026? macro $6.89万 2026-12-31 No 94.8% / Yes 5.2%
Will inflation reach more than 10% in 2026? macro $6.00万 2026-12-31 No 97.2% / Yes 2.9%
Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.8% and 1.1%? macro $4.28万 2026-10-30 Yes 55% / No 45%
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%? macro $4.26万 2027-01-20 Yes 40.6% / No 59.4%
Will inflation reach more than 8% in 2026? macro $4.21万 2026-12-31 No 96.6% / Yes 3.5%
Negative GDP growth in 2026? macro $3.34万 2027-01-29 No 98% / Yes 2.1%
Will India’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 3.75% and 4.49%? macro $3.19万 2027-01-12 No 95.8% / Yes 4.3%
Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1% and 2%? macro $3.16万 2027-02-12 No 6.3% / Yes 93.7%
Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 3.00% and 3.49%? macro $2.92万 2027-01-08 No 81.6% / Yes 18.4%
Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 1.9% and 2.1%? macro $2.62万 2027-01-19 No 98.2% / Yes 1.8%